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Quite cloudy with a few showers

Oak Trees In Spring

We're starting off on rather a cloudy note across much of the country on Thursday. We'll tend to keep plenty of cloud around through the day, but some bright or sunny spells should develop as well. We will have a scattering of showers, though you'll be unlucky to catch one in any one place. Northern England and southern Scotland perhaps the focus for showers today. If you do get a shower this afternoon it could be heavy with a rumble of thunder. Reasonably warm with temperatures into the mid to upper teens in any prolonged sunny spells. Heavy showers or longer spells of rain will push into the far south and south-east tonight, with this spreading north on Friday. A band of intermittent and showery rain will stretch from south-east England to Scotland on Friday, Some of this rain will be heavy, but it shouldn't be persistent. Again a lot of cloud across the country again on Friday - A very tricky period to pin down. By the weekend it's turning more generally wet and windy on Saturday with sunshine and showers on Sunday.24/4/14. 8:40

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Exceptionally Warm Start To 2014 - How Much Longer Can It Go On?



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Gavin's Thoughts (19/4/14)

Latest Flash (15/4/14)

Roger J Smith's Blog (17/4/14)

Terry Scholey Apr-May Forecast

We're going to be stuck between a trough in the Atlantic and a ridge over Scandinavia during the coming week. Unlike recent when we've been in a similar situation, the trough actually looks to be the driver of the weather this week.

So we can expect a more unsettled week than we've been used to for some time with showers or longer spells of rain - Especially in the south and west. At least it will be mild...

To read the rest click ***HERE***

Unfortunately by Easter Sunday low pressure has move moved in from the south and east and has parked itself right over the top of England and Wales.

The rainfall forecast shows that it's wet for much of the south with persistent outbreaks of rain, while the temperature forecast shows that it's cold with temps in single figures across much of the south at just 8-11c...

To read the rest click ***HERE***

I have recently run the latest version of my research model but the results are quite similar to what I described a few months ago.

My latest output for the summer months continues to show conditions quite close to normal in June and July, but somewhat warmer than average in August this year. This would be more similar to 2012 than 2013...

To read the rest, click ***HERE***

The current thirty day period is expected to be somewhat drier than normal in most places, despite unsettled intervals. It should also be somewhat warmer average in central and southern areas, with temperatures probably closer to normal over Scotland and in the north east.

May 13th to 15th: A change to much cooler, unsettled conditions seem likely, as the fine spell probably breaks down into showers...

To read the rest, click ***HERE***


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