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A nice weekend away from north-west

Autumn Trees

Many places will have quite a decent autumnal weekend. Scotland and Northern Ireland will have strong winds on Saturday with some outbreaks of rain developing in the north-west. Elsewhere it should stay bright, breezy and mostly dry with some sunny spells and cloud. A few showers possible for Wales and north-west England perhaps. Temperatures reaching a very mild 16c (61f) around London.

Sunday will be very similar to Saturday with the wettest weather in the north-west and the driest weather in the south-east. Rain will become more widespread across Scotland and Northern Ireland by Sunday afternoon. Maximum Temperature 17c (63f) in the south.

Next week looks like starting on an exceptionally mild note on Monday with temperatures perhaps reaching 19c (66f) in the south. Scotland will have cloud and rain though, and this wet and windy weather probably spreads south and east on Tuesday, introducing cooler air, but not before the south and east have another exceptionally mild day with temperatures close to 20c (68f). More on next weeks weather prospects in the week ahead forecast coming up at GWV later today.

Gavin Partridge. 25/10/14. 9:40

To catch up on all this week's video musings please go here
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The fourth winter 2014/15 update video has been released. Check it out here

Latest weather forecast video here

Week Ahead Forecast (25/10/14)


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Gavin's Thoughts (10/10/14)

Latest Flash (22/10/14)

Roger J. Smith Winter 14/15

Terry Scholey's Oct-Nov Forecast

It looks as though the weather will be staying unsettled during the coming week with low pressure in control. Temperatures will be recovering however, as winds turn into the south and brings warmer air up from Spain and the central Atlantic.

Heavy rain will spread up from the south across much of England and Wales on Sunday night driven on by a fairly strong easterly wind...

To read the rest click ***HERE***

An OPI of -1.5 or lower seems to be a critical threshold for almost guaranteeing a cold winter. Every winter in this list with an OPI below -1.5 preceding it was cold or very cold.

The current OPI Forecast (with just 9 day's to go until month end) is for an OPI of -1.89. If this was the final number this would strongly imply a cold winter for 2014/15 based on this hind-casting...

To read the rest click ***HERE***

So I should begin by saying that winter 2014-15 may not seem entirely different from last winter to many, and there could be rather frequent wind storm events in Britain and Ireland. This set-up should mean that winter 2014-15 will not be generally as mild as last winter in Britain and Ireland.

The colder portions of the winter, from my index value research, would appear to be roughly once every month, but more specifically, mid-November, early December, early part of mid-January and possibly a longer cold spell near end of February into March

To read the rest click ***HERE***

It looks as though much of the remainder of October will also be unsettled especially in the north and west. The south and east will have brief drier, brighter intervals and with winds often in a southerly quarter it will be very mild generally.

The first half of November trend however should be for Atlantic depressions to increasingly 'dive' into central Europe, eventually leading to a much colder 'blocking' type towards mid-November...

To read the rest, click ***HERE***






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