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Dry, sunny, if rather chilly Good Friday.

Dafodils and sunshine

High pressure is in for Good Friday, meaning that we're going to have plenty of dry and sunny weather to start the Easter weekend. North-west Scotland could have some showers and a easterly breeze may blow some cloud into south-eastern coastal counties, but the bulk of the country will start the long weekend on a dry and sunny note. We're in a cooler air-mass, so temperatures will be cool compared to recently, maximum today probably around 15c. It will be quite cold again tonight. Clear skies will lead to a widespread ground frost in rural locations. Saturday will be dry away from northern Scotland, where some rain seems probable. We'll have more of an easterly wind across England and Wales, which will make it feel quite cold, especially on the east coast. Eastern Sunday will be mainly fine and dry for Scotland and Northern Ireland, but after a dry start most of England and Wales turns cloudy and wet with outbreaks of persistent and quite heavy rain moving up from the south. Showers in the west on Bank Holiday Monday, with the driest, brightest weather in the east perhaps?

18/4/14. 8:22

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Terry Scholey Apr-May Forecast

High pressure has been in control through much of this spring so far. An extended spell of unsettled weather is probable at some point this spring and some models have been flirting with the idea that it could begin over the Easter weekend.

This is seemingly increasingly less likely with the chance of high pressure holding on at least into the start of the Easter holiday.

To read the rest click ***HERE***

Unfortunately by Easter Sunday low pressure has move moved in from the south and east and has parked itself right over the top of England and Wales.

The rainfall forecast shows that it's wet for much of the south with persistent outbreaks of rain, while the temperature forecast shows that it's cold with temps in single figures across much of the south at just 8-11c...

To read the rest click ***HERE***

I have recently run the latest version of my research model but the results are quite similar to what I described a few months ago.

My latest output for the summer months continues to show conditions quite close to normal in June and July, but somewhat warmer than average in August this year. This would be more similar to 2012 than 2013...

To read the rest, click ***HERE***

The current thirty day period is expected to be somewhat drier than normal in most places, despite unsettled intervals. It should also be somewhat warmer average in central and southern areas, with temperatures probably closer to normal over Scotland and in the north east.

May 13th to 15th: A change to much cooler, unsettled conditions seem likely, as the fine spell probably breaks down into showers...

To read the rest, click ***HERE***

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